Barbara

Derek Kevra Wwltv

From the NHC on what's left of Barbara,

"FINDING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN A REAL CHALLENGE THIS MORNING. THE CENTER OF ROTATION THAT IS EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS NOT CONSISTENT WITH SURFACE WIND OBSERVATIONS FROM STANDARD AND AUTOMATED MEXICAN WEATHER STATIONS.

IN FACT...THERE IS SOME DOUBT THAT A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER
EVEN EXISTS. HOWEVER...WE THINK THE MOST PRUDENT ACTION AT THIS
TIME IS TO MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM AS A DEPRESSION UNTIL ADDITIONAL
VISIBLE IMAGES AND SURFACE DATA BECOME AVAILABLE. THE CURRENT
ADVISORY POSITION IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE SURFACE WIND
DATA.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A VERY UNCERTAIN 310/3. MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER WILL NOT MOVE VERY FAR INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SINCE THE SURFACE CENTER HAS BECOME VERY DISRUPTED
AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE FAR FROM LAND...THE FORECAST SHOWS THE
SYSTEM DISSIPATING IN A DAY OR SO.